As a disclaimer, if you don't already know, I have a horse in the 2008 race, and it is one of the senator breed: I've been blogging in support of Russ Feingold for almost a year. However, as I do not wish this to become another tiresome debate about his marital status, religion, or position on the First Gulf War, this is the last time I'll mention him in this diary.
And now, our feature presentation...
"HISTORY! No senator has been elected President since 1960!" This is true. It is also irrelevant and the fact that it is repeated in so many places as though it actually means something shows the poor state of American political discourse today.
Pop quiz time: Before George H.W. Bush was elected in 1988, who was the last incumbent Vice President elected to the big job?
The Red Fox of Kinderhook, Martin Van Buren in 1836!
How many governors were elected President between FDR in 1932 and Jimmy Carter in 1976?
Survey says, ZERO!
How many governors (or former governors) lost presidential elections between 1932 and 1976?
Three governors/former governors lost a total of five elections in that timeframe. (Not counting George Wallace.)
What does any of this mean? Not an awful lot. There are many explanations for those statistics besides the office held by the losing candidate. And the same with the senators who have lost presidential elections in recent memory. Perhaps Bob Dole lost because he was up against a popular president in a time of prosperity? Perhaps George McGovern and Barry Goldwater lost because they were perceived as being on the fringes of the ideological spectrum? Perhaps John Kerry lost because he ran a bad campaign?
And perhaps they lost for other reasons. But they didn't lose because they were senators, any more than Richard Nixon lost in 1960 (to a senator!) because he was VP.
Saying senators can't win because a senator hasn't been elected president since 1960 is an abuse of history and statistics. It's as good an argument as "The Chicago Cubs won't win the World Series next year because they haven't won it since 1908." Now, as a Cardinals fan I certainly hope the Cubs won't win, but that's still a bad argument. And maybe there are better arguments for the "No More senators!" club...
"Senators will have their records used against them!" This, too, is true. It's also true of governors, ask Mike Dukakis. Willie Horton, Boston Harbor, the Pledge of Allegience...all those attacks were (however unfairly) based on his record as governor.
Any politician who does anything in public office has a record that can be attacked. And any officeholder who is good enough to be nominated for the presidency should be able to explain their record in a clear, straightforward way. Perhaps a senator's voting history is longer and more confusing than a governor's record...but if the senator has stood consistently on the issues over the years it shouldn't be that hard to explain.
"But governors communicate better than Senators!" This is a blanket statement that isn't true about all senators or all governors. Which of these Democrats was a better communicator: Senator John F. Kennedy or Governor Michael Dukakis?
But you need not reach back to JFK to find a good communicator in the Senate. What about Paul Wellstone or Barack Obama? Senators can be compassionate, honest and eloquent speakers...and governors can give some of the most muddled, confusing explanations you ever heard. (Need I remind you that George W. Bush was once a governor?) The ability to communicate and connect with people is something that is about the individual, not the office.
I've heard it suggested that by living in state capitol rather than Washington D.C. governors somehow are "closer to the people" than senators. Well, I'll grant that physically they are closer to the residents of the state capitol...but most governors live in governor's mansions. Most of "the people" don't live in mansions. Somehow, as a resident of St. Louis, Missouri, I feel that Senator Dick Durbin understands what life is like for me a lot more than Governor Matt Blunt in Jefferson City. (Yeah, I'm kinda cheating because both my senators are horrible...but Durbin grew up in East St. Louis!)
Finally, "Senators aren't leaders, governors are!" This isn't really true either. Most political accomplishments involve leadership by members of both the executive and legislative branches. True, senators can't just point at everything good in their state and take credit for all of it. But they can show leadership by taking bold stands, holding the administration accountable and putting forward new proposals.
As a rather strange example, what is Hillary Clinton doing when she makes statements about video game violence and flag burning that annoy us? She's trying to be a leader! If senators weren't capable of being leaders, no one would care what they say about anything...nor would they bother saying anything.
I don't think the lack of executive experience stops former legislators from being good leaders as presidents: look at Lincoln or Truman. (I don't think anyone, including Truman, would count his time as FDR's VP as "executive experience.")
In conclusion, the presidency is a serious job and, in a way, helping choose your party's presidential nominee is the most important thing you get to do as a political activist. When thinking about whom you'd like to see run in 2008 I think all Democrats should remember the title of Jimmy Carter's 1976 campaign biography: "Why Not the Best?" Look for the person you think would make the best president. And if your answer to the question "Why Not the Best?" is "Well, the conventional wisdom says the Best can't win..." I hope you'll join me in telling the conventional wisdom to go to hell...in a polite way, of course.
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